Nigeria Security Crisis 2026: Insecurity Perception by Region — Survey Analysis
How safe do Nigerians really feel? Our Insecurity Perception survey of 1,840 respondents reveals the gap between actual security statistics and lived experience across all six geopolitical zones.
Nigeria Security Crisis 2026: Insecurity Perception by Region — Survey Analysis
Published: June 2026 | Data Source: NigeriaPolls Insecurity Perception Survey (n=1,840, ±2.4% MoE)
Perception vs Reality
Nigeria faces a complex security landscape in 2026. But how safe do Nigerians actually feel? Our Insecurity Perception survey (n=1,840, ±2.4% MoE) reveals a significant gap between official security statistics and the lived experience of citizens across the six geopolitical zones.
National Insecurity Perception
| How safe do you feel in your neighbourhood? | % |
|---|---|
| Very safe | 12% |
| Somewhat safe | 31% |
| Somewhat unsafe | 34% |
| Very unsafe | 23% |
57% of Nigerians feel unsafe in their own neighbourhood — a figure that rises to 72% in the North-West and 68% in the North-East.
Most Pressing Security Threats
When asked which security threat concerns them most:
| Threat | % | Most Affected Zone |
|---|---|---|
| Banditry / armed robbery | 34% | North-West |
| Kidnapping for ransom | 28% | North-Central |
| Farmer-herder conflict | 18% | North-Central, South-East |
| Terrorist insurgency | 11% | North-East |
| Cultism / organised crime | 6% | South-South |
| Other | 3% | — |
Trust in Security Forces
Trust in Nigeria security institutions remains low:
| Institution | Trust | Somewhat Trust | Do Not Trust |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nigerian Army | 28% | 37% | 35% |
| Nigerian Police | 14% | 29% | 57% |
| DSS | 18% | 31% | 51% |
| Civil Defence | 16% | 33% | 51% |
| Local vigilantes | 22% | 34% | 44% |
The Nigeria Police Force is the least trusted institution, with 57% of respondents saying they do not trust the police. This is consistent across all zones and demographics.
Regional Breakdown
North-West (Kano, Kaduna, Katsina, etc.)
- 72% feel unsafe — the highest of any zone
- Banditry is the overwhelming concern (52%)
- Trust in police is just 8%
North-East (Borno, Yobe, Adamawa, etc.)
- 68% feel unsafe
- Terrorist insurgency remains the top concern (41%)
- 34% report knowing someone killed or kidnapped in the past year
North-Central (Plateau, Benue, Niger, etc.)
- 61% feel unsafe
- Farmer-herder conflict is the dominant issue (44%)
- 29% have displaced due to conflict at some point
South-South (Rivers, Delta, Bayelsa, etc.)
- 48% feel unsafe
- Cultism and organized crime are growing concerns (22%)
- Oil infrastructure security is a unique regional issue
South-East (Enugu, Anambra, Imo, etc.)
- 51% feel unsafe
- Kidnapping for ransom is the top concern (38%)
- Sit-at-home orders and separatist tensions add to insecurity
South-West (Lagos, Oyo, Ogun, etc.)
- 38% feel unsafe — the most secure zone
- Armed robbery is the primary concern (31%)
- Urban crime in Lagos skews the regional figures
What Nigerians Want
When asked what would most improve security:
- Better police funding and training — cited by 44%
- Community policing and local intelligence — cited by 38%
- Economic opportunities to reduce crime drivers — cited by 36%
- More military patrols in rural areas — cited by 29%
- Stricter gun control — cited by 21%
Conclusion
Nigeria security crisis remains the second-most important issue after the economy. The gap between citizens lived fear and official statistics suggests underreporting is significant. Rebuilding trust in the police force is the single most impactful step government could take — but it requires sustained investment and institutional reform.
Methodology: Data from NigeriaPolls Insecurity Perception survey fielded May 2025 (n=1,840, ±2.4% MoE, 95% CL). Stratified random sampling across all 36 states and FCT. Full data at NigeriaPolls Research.
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Cite this article (CC BY 4.0)
NigeriaPolls Research Unit. (10 June 2026). "Nigeria Security Crisis 2026: Insecurity Perception by Region — Survey Analysis." NigeriaPolls. CC BY 4.0. https://nigeriapolls.com/blog/nigeria-security-crisis-2026-insecurity-perception-by-region
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