Insight Brief
Nigeria's pulse, decoded.
Expert analysis on polls, indices, methodology and policy from the NigeriaPolls research desk. Every dataset is published under CC BY 4.0 — free to read, free to remix, free to cite.
Featured Research
Sector trackers & deep dives
Japa: Who Is Leaving Nigeria, Who Is Staying, and What Nobody Measures
Nigeria has no exit register, so every emigration total is an estimate built from other countries' visa data. What those numbers actually show, why 2024 changed the picture, and the intent nobody is measuring.
Naira Confidence Tracker Q1 2026: Full Analysis of Nigerian Currency Sentiment
The Naira has been Nigeria's economic barometer, political football, and daily anxiety for decades. In Q1 2026, as the currency navigates another cycle of volatility, NigeriaPolls conducted its most comprehensive…
All articles
23 articles
analysis
What Nigerians Actually Earn: Where the Real Pay Figures Are
Three public sources give you Nigerian pay figures you can cite and defend: the statutory floor, the federal salary structures published by grade, and audited staff costs at listed companies. Here is how to use them, and what they cannot reach.
analysis
Fuel Prices in Nigeria, and What Nigerians Did About Them
Petrol has been deregulated since May 2023, which is why there is no single national price. Where the official numbers come from, what changed in the market, and the behavioural response nobody has measured.
analysis
Nigerian Inflation: What the Numbers Measure and What They Miss
Why the headline inflation rate never matches your experience, what the 2025 rebasing changed, why a falling rate still means rising prices, and the household questions no published dataset answers.
analysis
The Minimum Wage in Nigeria, and What It Actually Buys
Nigeria's national minimum wage is ₦70,000 a month under the National Minimum Wage (Amendment) Act 2024. What the law says, what the figure does not tell you, and why there is no single answer to whether it is enough.
methodology
Running Survey Research Under the Nigeria Data Protection Act
Survey research sits squarely inside the Nigeria Data Protection Act 2023. The six obligations that matter to fieldwork, why political opinion counts as sensitive data, and the two traps specific to Nigeria.
analysis
Investing in Nigeria: What the Data Tells You and What It Cannot
Nigeria is one of the most written-about and least measured markets in the world. What the public statistics cover, where they stop, and which questions only primary fieldwork can answer.
methodology
Writing Survey Questions That Survive Contact With a Respondent
Most bad survey data comes from questions that were clear to the person who wrote them and ambiguous to everyone else. A practical guide to questionnaire design, wording, ordering, length and piloting.
methodology
How Many People Do You Need to Survey? Sample Size, Worked Through
About 1,000 completed interviews gives a national result at roughly plus or minus 3 points, and population size barely matters. What actually drives sample size is the breakdowns you intend to report separately.
methodology
Likert Scales: What They Are, When They Break, and How to Write One
A Likert scale measures agreement on an ordered set of options. The scale is easy; almost everything that goes wrong happens before anyone answers. A practical guide to writing, administering and analysing them.
pulse analysis
Violent Crimes in Enugu: Nigerian Public Sentiment Analysis
Analysis of Nigerian public sentiment on "Violent Crimes in Enugu". Pulse score 95, mood Angry. Based on NigeriaPolls cross-platform monitoring data.
pulse analysis
Gunmen Kill 30 in Zamfara: Nigerian Public Sentiment Analysis
Analysis of Nigerian public sentiment on "Gunmen Kill 30 in Zamfara". Pulse score 95, mood Angry. Based on NigeriaPolls cross-platform monitoring data.
pulse analysis
Nigerian teen trafficked to Ivory Coast loses womb: Nigerian Public Sentiment Analysis
Analysis of Nigerian public sentiment on "Nigerian teen trafficked to Ivory Coast loses womb". Pulse score 95, mood Angry. Based on NigeriaPolls cross-platform monitoring data.
policy
Nigeria Security Crisis 2026: Insecurity Perception by Region — Survey Analysis
How safe do Nigerians really feel? Our Insecurity Perception survey of 1,840 respondents reveals the gap between actual security statistics and lived experience across all six geopolitical zones.
policy
Nigeria Inflation & Cost of Living Crisis 2026: Complete Data Analysis
Nigeria inflation rate stands at 24.8% as of Q1 2026. Our analysis combines NBS data with the Naira Confidence Tracker survey (n=2,047) to show how Nigerians are coping with the cost of living crisis.
poll analysis
APC vs PDP vs Labour Party: Nigerian Voter Preferences 18 Months Before 2027
With the 2027 presidential election 18 months away, our survey of 3,102 Nigerians reveals current party preferences, zone-by-zone breakdowns, and what drives voter decisions.
education
Education in Northern vs Southern Nigeria: The Learning Divide in 2026
The gap between Northern and Southern Nigeria education outcomes persists. Our Education Quality Tracker survey of 1,620 Nigerians reveals the scope of the divide and what it means for national development.
education
Best Secondary Schools in Nigeria by WAEC Performance 2025: Complete Rankings and Analysis
Every year, approximately 1.8 million Nigerian students sit for the West African Senior School Certificate Examination (WASSCE). The results are more than individual achievements — they are a window into the quality of…
education
JAMB Cut-off Marks 2026: All Universities Ranked by Admission Competitiveness
The Joint Admissions and Matriculation Board (JAMB) UTME is the gateway to Nigerian higher education. Every year, 1.5–2 million candidates compete for approximately 500,000 university places. The cut-off mark — the…
methodology
Understanding Margin of Error: Why ±2.2% Matters in Nigerian Polling
You have seen the headlines: "67% of Nigerians believe the Naira will stabilize." But what if the real number is 65%? Or 69%? Does that change the story?
policy
Cost of Living Index: Lagos vs. Abuja vs. Port Harcourt — Where Does Your Naira Go Furthest?
Lagos is Nigeria's economic capital. Abuja is its political capital. Port Harcourt is its oil capital. But which city gives ordinary Nigerians the best quality of life for their Naira?
poll analysis
2027 Election Early Mood: What Nigerians Are Saying 18 Months Before the Vote
Eighteen months before Nigeria's next presidential election, the political landscape is already taking shape. Incumbents are calculating. Challengers are positioning. Voters are watching — and, according to our data,…
indices
Youth Employment Hope Index: What the Numbers Reveal About Nigeria's Future
Nigeria's youth unemployment rate is notoriously difficult to pin down — estimates range from 33% to 55% depending on the source and definition. But unemployment statistics tell only half the story. The other half is…
methodology
How NigeriaPolls Conducts Rigorous Public Opinion Research
Every number you see on NigeriaPolls carries a story — not just about what Nigerians think, but about how we know what they think. In a media landscape flooded with unverified Twitter polls and anecdotal reporting,…