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Borno State

The historic heartland of the Kanuri people and the Bornu Empire — Borno State has endured over a decade of insurgency while emerging as a model for post-conflict governance under Governor Babagana Zulum. From the ancient walls of Maiduguri to the rebuilding of Bama and Gwoza, Borno's political landscape is defined by resilience, reconstruction, and the complex intersection of security, ethnicity, and development. The state's recovery trajectory makes it a critical bellwether for North-East politics and a testing ground for policies that could reshape Nigeria's approach to counter-insurgency and humanitarian governance.

Population

~5.5 Million

Capital

Maiduguri

Region

North-East

Latest Polls

18 Active

Public Sentiment Tracker

Borno State Sentiment Scorecard

Real-time aggregation of citizen sentiment across governance, security, economy, and social services based on our latest statewide survey of 2,341 respondents conducted in June 2026.

Source label: NigeriaPolls state sentiment tracker, last reviewed 17 August 2026. Treat these figures as public-opinion snapshots, not official government statistics or election predictions. For a citable claim, include the state page URL, publication or review date, geography, response basis where shown, and whether the passage is poll data, research-desk analysis, or public-record context.

Governance Approval

68%

up 3%

Citizens rate Governor Zulum's performance on reconstruction, education, healthcare, and humanitarian coordination.

Security Perception

52%

up 5%

Confidence in sustained security gains since the peak of insurgency, with lingering concerns in rural LGAs.

Economic Confidence

44%

up 2%

Optimism about agricultural recovery, market reopening, and return of displaced populations to livelihoods.

Youth Hope Index

49%

up 6%

Young people aged 18–35 express hope in educational access, skills training, and employment prospects.

Healthcare Access

47%

up 4%

Satisfaction with healthcare facility reconstruction and availability of medical personnel in IDP camps.

Education Quality

51%

up 7%

Rating of public school reopening, teacher return, and educational outcomes in resettled communities.

Active Polls

Latest Polls from Borno State

Our most recent surveys capturing voter intention, candidate performance, and issue salience across Borno's three senatorial districts.

Citation note: quote the individual poll title, date, response count or sample size, publisher/source label, and state geography when using these findings. If a result card summarizes a broader survey, cite the full poll page or dataset rather than this state overview alone.

Governor Approval

Governor Babagana Zulum Approval Rating — Q2 2026

A statewide survey of 2,341 adults measuring approval of Governor Babagana Zulum across reconstruction, security, education, and humanitarian metrics. The poll shows a 68% approval rating, the highest of any North-East governor. His strongest support comes from Maiduguri Metropolitan and Jere LGAs, while rural northern LGAs show lower but improving scores as reconstruction extends beyond the capital.

June 18, 2026·2,341 respondents
View full results
Senate Performance

Borno Senators Performance Review — June 2026

Constituents across Borno South, North, and Central evaluate their senators on legislative effectiveness, constituency project delivery, and IDP advocacy. Senator Mohammed Ali Ndume (South) leads with a 61% favorability rating, benefiting from his national profile. Senator Tahir Monguno (North) scores 48%, while Senator Kaka Shehu Lawan (Central) records 55% as constituents credit him with facilitating federal reconstruction projects.

June 10, 2026·1,890 respondents
View full results
2027 Election Outlook

Borno 2027 Governorship Election — Early Outlook

Hypothetical matchup testing voter preference for the 2027 Borno gubernatorial election. Governor Babagana Zulum (APC) is term-limited, creating an open contest. The APC candidate leads with 52% against a generic PDP challenger at 28%, while 18% remain undecided. Name recognition and association with Zulum's reconstruction agenda are the strongest predictors of voter preference.

May 25, 2026·2,567 respondents
View full results

Elected Officials

Key Politicians in Borno State

Profiles, approval ratings, and performance data for Borno's governor and federal legislators.

BZ

Prof. Babagana Umara Zulum

APCGovernor

Professor Babagana Umara Zulum is a Nigerian professor of Agricultural Engineering who has served as Governor of Borno State since May 29, 2019. He was re-elected in the March 2023 gubernatorial election. Before becoming governor, Zulum served as Rector of Ramat Polytechnic and Commissioner of Reconstruction, Rehabilitation and Resettlement under Governor Kashim Shettima. His tenure has been defined by an ambitious post-insurgency reconstruction agenda, including the rebuilding of schools, markets, and healthcare facilities across the 27 LGAs. Zulum has gained national and international recognition for his hands-on approach to governance, frequently making unannounced visits to IDP camps and project sites. Critics note that while reconstruction is visible in Maiduguri, rural LGAs continue to face significant infrastructure deficits and security vulnerabilities.

Approval Rating

68%

In Office Since

May 2019

Term-Limited

2027 (Open Race)

TM

Sen. Tahir Monguno

Borno North

APC

Favorability

48%

Since

June 2023

KL

Sen. Kaka Shehu Lawan

Borno Central

APC

Favorability

55%

Since

June 2023

MN

Sen. Mohammed Ali Ndume

Borno South

APC

Favorability

61%

Since

June 2023

State Profile

Borno State Demographics & Economy

Understanding the population distribution, economic output, and cultural composition of Borno State.

Population (est.)

~5.5M

2026 projection

Land Area

70,898 km²

Largest in North-East

GDP Contribution

~₦2.1T

NBS 2025 estimate

LGAs

27

Local Government Areas

Major Languages & Ethnic Groups

The Kanuri people constitute the majority ethnic group in Borno State, accounting for approximately 55% of the population. They are the descendants of the Kanem-Bornu Empire, which flourished for over a millennium in the Central Sudan region. The Kanuri language, alongside Hausa, serves as a major lingua franca in the state. The Kanuri are predominantly Muslim and have a rich tradition of Islamic scholarship, with the city of Maiduguri serving as a center of Quranic learning for centuries.

The Shuwa Arabs, a nomadic and semi-nomadic people of Arab descent, are the second-largest group, concentrated in the northern and central LGAs. They are primarily pastoralists, herding cattle across the savannah and Sahel zones. The Babur and Bura people are concentrated in the Biu Plateau area of Borno South, with the Babur having established the Biu Kingdom in the 16th century. The Marghi, Mandara, and other ethnic minorities populate the southern and eastern LGAs.

Hausa is widely spoken as a second language across all ethnic groups, facilitating inter-communal trade and communication. English serves as the official language of government and education. Arabic is used for religious purposes among Muslim communities. The linguistic diversity of Borno reflects its position as a historic crossroads of trans-Saharan trade and cultural exchange.

Religious Composition

Islam is the dominant religion in Borno State, practiced by approximately 85% of the population. The state has a long tradition of Islamic scholarship dating back to the Kanem-Bornu Empire, which adopted Islam in the 11th century. Maiduguri is home to several prominent Islamic institutions, including the University of Maiduguri's Arabic and Islamic Studies department and numerous Quranic schools.

Christianity is practiced by approximately 15% of the population, concentrated primarily among the Babur, Bura, Marghi, and other ethnic groups in the southern LGAs. The Church of the Brethren (EYN) has a particularly strong presence, having been established by American missionaries in the early 20th century. Catholic and Anglican churches also serve significant congregations.

The Boko Haram insurgency has had a profound impact on religious dynamics in Borno State. The group's attacks on churches, mosques, and traditional religious leaders created deep sectarian tensions. However, the post-conflict period has seen renewed efforts at inter-faith dialogue, with religious leaders from both communities collaborating on peacebuilding initiatives. Governor Zulum has made inter-religious harmony a cornerstone of his reconstruction agenda.

Economic Profile

Borno State's economy has been severely disrupted by over a decade of insurgency, which destroyed agricultural production, disrupted trade routes, and displaced millions of people. However, recovery is underway, with agriculture regaining its position as the dominant sector. The state is a significant producer of millet, sorghum, maize, cowpeas, and groundnuts, with the fertile plains around Maiduguri and the Ngadda River supporting extensive farming.

Livestock production, particularly cattle, sheep, and goats, has historically been central to Borno's economy, with the state hosting some of Nigeria's largest livestock markets. The Boko Haram insurgency devastated the livestock sector, as herders were displaced and markets destroyed. Recovery in this sector has been slower than in crop agriculture, though recent government initiatives have provided veterinary services and restocking support to pastoralist communities.

Trade and commerce are concentrated in Maiduguri, which serves as a commercial hub for the Lake Chad basin. The Monday Market, one of West Africa's largest open-air markets, has partially recovered after being targeted in insurgent attacks. Borno also has significant potential in fisheries, given its proximity to Lake Chad, though water level decline and insecurity have limited this sector. The state government is prioritizing agricultural value chains, SME development, and public works as pathways to economic revitalization.

Insights

Borno News & Analysis

Deep-dive analysis of political developments, electoral dynamics, and policy debates shaping Borno State.

Post-Conflict Politics

Life After Zulum: Mapping Borno's 2027 Gubernatorial Succession

With Governor Babagana Zulum term-limited in 2027, Borno faces its first open gubernatorial contest in eight years. This analysis examines the emerging candidates from both the APC and PDP, the influence of Zulum's endorsement, and how the reconstruction agenda will shape voter expectations. We identify three potential APC front-runners and assess whether the PDP can capitalize on the open race to break the APC's dominance.

June 22, 2026·9 min read
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Security Analysis

The Residual Threat: Assessing Security in Rural Borno LGAs

While Maiduguri and major towns have experienced significant security improvements, rural LGAs in Borno North and parts of Borno Central continue to face threats from ISWAP and Boko Haram remnants. Our analysis examines polling data on security perceptions, the impact of ongoing military operations, and the political implications of uneven security recovery. We find that voter turnout in high-risk LGAs remains 25% below pre-insurgency levels.

June 14, 2026·7 min read
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Electoral Demographics

The IDP Vote: How Displaced Populations Could Shape Borno's Future

Over 1.8 million Borno residents remain internally displaced, with significant populations in Maiduguri camps and host communities. This analysis examines the electoral registration status of IDPs, their voting patterns in previous elections, and the political implications of resettlement timelines. We project that if current resettlement plans proceed, the 2027 electorate could include over 300,000 first-time voters from resettled communities.

June 2, 2026·8 min read
Read more

Frequently Asked Questions

Borno State Polls FAQ

Common questions about polling, elections, and political representation in Borno State.

Who is the current governor of Borno State?

Professor Babagana Umara Zulum of the All Progressives Congress (APC) is the current governor of Borno State. He was first elected in the March 2019 gubernatorial election and was re-elected in March 2023. Before becoming governor, Zulum was a professor of Agricultural Engineering at the University of Maiduguri and served as Commissioner for Reconstruction under Governor Kashim Shettima.

What is the capital of Borno State?

Maiduguri is the capital and largest city of Borno State. With an estimated population of over 1.2 million in the metropolitan area, it is the largest city in North-East Nigeria and one of the largest in the country. Maiduguri serves as the administrative, commercial, and cultural center of Borno State and has historically been a center of Islamic learning and trans-Saharan trade.

Which political party dominates Borno State?

The All Progressives Congress (APC) has been the dominant political party in Borno State since 2015. Governor Babagana Zulum won re-election in 2023 with approximately 85% of the vote, demonstrating the party's strong grip on state politics. The APC also holds all three senatorial seats and the majority of House of Representatives seats from Borno. The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) has limited but persistent presence, particularly in some southern LGAs.

Who are the Kanuri people?

The Kanuri people are an ethnic group indigenous to Borno State, the Lake Chad basin, and parts of neighboring Niger, Chad, and Cameroon. They are the descendants of the Kanem-Bornu Empire, which was founded in the 9th century and became one of Africa's longest-lasting states. The Kanuri are predominantly Sunni Muslims and speak the Kanuri language, which belongs to the Nilo-Saharan language family. Their traditional political system, the Shehu of Borno, remains an important cultural institution.

How has Boko Haram affected Borno State politics?

The Boko Haram insurgency, which began in 2009 and peaked between 2014 and 2016, has profoundly reshaped Borno State politics. Over 2 million people were displaced, thousands were killed, and entire communities were destroyed. Politically, security became the dominant campaign issue, overshadowing traditional concerns about development and patronage. The insurgency also disrupted electoral processes, with many polling units in rural LGAs becoming inaccessible. Governor Zulum's popularity has been heavily tied to his reconstruction agenda, and the APC has benefited from association with federal military operations. The humanitarian crisis has also attracted unprecedented international attention and aid flows, creating new dynamics in state-federal and state-international relations.

How many senatorial districts does Borno State have?

Borno State has three senatorial districts. Borno Central comprises Maiduguri Metropolitan, Jere, Mafa, Dikwa, Bama, and Konduga LGAs — the most populous district and the political heartland. Borno South includes Biu, Hawul, Bayo, Shani, Kwaya Kusar, and Askira/Uba LGAs, home to the Babur, Bura, and Marghi ethnic groups. Borno North encompasses Monguno, Marte, Nganzai, Kukawa, Abadam, Guzamala, and Mobbar LGAs — the largest by land area but most sparsely populated, and the region most affected by the insurgency. Each district elects one senator to the National Assembly.

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