NigeriaPolls
All indices

Index methodology

Youth Hope Index

How hopeful young Nigerians are about work, business and their future at home.

What the Youth Hope Index measures

The Youth Hope Index measures optimism among Nigerians aged 18 to 34 about jobs, entrepreneurship, migration and political voice. It is built for employers, funders, youth organisations and reporters covering the generation that makes up most of the country.

The index runs on a 0 to 100 scale with 50 as the neutral point. Higher means a more positive reading.

Components

Job confidence

Belief that decent work can be found.

Entrepreneurship intent

Plans to start or grow a business.

Migration sentiment

Wish to leave Nigeria, and the reasons given.

Political agency

Belief that young people can influence decisions.

Outlook for the next five years

Expectation that life will improve.

Three inputs, reported side by side

1. Nigeria Pulse conversation signal

Nigeria Pulse tracks daily conversation about jobs, startups, relocation abroad and youth participation in politics. It shows which themes young Nigerians are raising most.

Explore Nigeria Pulse

2. Official data from named institutions

  • National Bureau of Statistics (NBS): Labour force statistics including youth unemployment and underemployment.
  • National Population Commission (NPC): Age structure and population projections.
  • Joint Admissions and Matriculation Board (JAMB): Tertiary admission demand.

Every official figure is shown with its institution and release year.

3. Field data from the phone sampling frame

Fieldwork runs on the NigeriaPolls nationwide random-digit-dial phone sampling frame of more than 11,000 Nigerian mobile numbers across all 36 states and the FCT. Respondents aged 18 to 34 are selected for this index, and results are designed to be cut by age band, gender and employment status.

How the index is scaled and published

  1. 1

    Rescale. Every input is converted to a 0 to 100 score against fixed floor and ceiling values that are published before the first release and not changed afterwards.

  2. 2

    Combine. Components are combined with equal weights unless a release states otherwise. The weights and bounds are listed on the methodology page.

  3. 3

    Publish. Each release states the field dates, question wording, response basis and sample size, and shows the field, official and conversation views side by side.

  4. 4

    Revise. Any change to wording, bounds or weights is logged with a version note, so a series is never quietly rewritten.

How to cite

Cite each release with the index name, the release month and year, and the page address. Quote the sample size and field dates exactly as printed on the release.

NigeriaPolls, Youth Hope Index, release month and year. https://nigeriapolls.com/indices/youth-hope-index

Frequently asked questions

What does the Youth Hope Index measure?

It measures optimism among Nigerians aged 18 to 34 about jobs, business, migration and political voice, on a 0 to 100 scale.

Who counts as youth?

Respondents aged 18 to 34, the working definition used for this index.

How do I cite the index?

Cite each release as: NigeriaPolls, Youth Hope Index, release month and year, https://nigeriapolls.com/indices/youth-hope-index.