Public Sentiment Tracker
Kwara State Sentiment Scorecard
Aggregated from 4,600+ responses across 6 surveys conducted between January and June 2026. Scores are indexed 0–100.
Source label: NigeriaPolls state sentiment tracker, last reviewed 17 August 2026. Treat these figures as public-opinion snapshots, not official government statistics or election predictions. For a citable claim, include the state page URL, publication or review date, geography, response basis where shown, and whether the passage is poll data, research-desk analysis, or public-record context.
Governance Approval
Security Perception
Economic Confidence
Youth Hope Index
Healthcare Access
Education Quality
Latest Polls
Recent Polls from Kwara State
Verified polling data from NigeriaPolls and partner research organizations. All samples are demographically weighted.
Citation note: quote the individual poll title, date, response count or sample size, publisher/source label, and state geography when using these findings. If a result card summarizes a broader survey, cite the full poll page or dataset rather than this state overview alone.
June 2026
Kwara Governorship Approval Rating — Q2 2026
Sample: 1,240 respondents
58% Approve • 28% Disapprove • 14% Undecided
NigeriaPolls / NOI Polls
View methodologyMay 2026
Senatorial Preference: Kwara Central District
Sample: 890 respondents
APC 47% • PDP 35% • NNPP 12% • Undecided 6%
NigeriaPolls Research
View methodologyApril 2026
Youth Unemployment & Political Engagement Survey
Sample: 1,500 respondents aged 18–35
67% unemployed • 43% politically active • 71% want change
NigeriaPolls Youth Tracker
View methodologyElected Officials
Key Political Office Holders in Kwara State
Current executive and legislative representatives serving Kwara State, with their latest approval ratings from NigeriaPolls surveys.
AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq
All Progressives Congress (APC)
Approval Rating
58%
First elected in 2019 and re-elected in 2023. His administration has focused on infrastructure renewal, education reform, and agricultural modernization. Approval remains steady in urban Ilorin but faces criticism over healthcare access in rural LGAs.
Saliu Mustapha
All Progressives Congress (APC)
Turaki of Ilorin. Elected to the Senate in 2023. Known for legislative work on trade and industry committees.
Lola Ashiru
All Progressives Congress (APC)
Architect and former House of Representatives member. Elected to the Senate in 2023. Focuses on infrastructure and rural development.
Umar Suleiman Yisa (Saliu)
All Progressives Congress (APC)
Represents the predominantly Nupe and Bariba communities of Kwara North. Advocates for agricultural investment and road infrastructure.
Demographics & Economy
Kwara State at a Glance
Key demographic, economic, and social indicators for Kwara State, contextualized within national averages where available.
Population (est.)
~3.5 million
0.8% annual growth rate
GDP Contribution
~₦2.1 trillion
Agriculture & services dominant
Major Languages
Yoruba, Fulfulde
Nupe, Bariba also widely spoken
Religion
~85% Muslim
~15% Christian & traditional
About Kwara State
Kwara State was created on May 27, 1967, and is one of the six states that make up Nigeria's North Central geopolitical zone. The state derives its name from the River Niger, which is called "Kwara" in Nupe. Ilorin, the state capital, is one of Nigeria's most important Islamic learning centers, with a history of scholarship dating back to the 19th century jihad of Shehu Alimi. The state is strategically positioned as a gateway between the predominantly Muslim north and the Christian south, giving it a unique cultural and political character.
Economically, Kwara State relies heavily on agriculture, with major crops including cotton, groundnut, yam, cassava, maize, and rice. The state is home to several tertiary institutions including the University of Ilorin (one of Nigeria's largest universities), Kwara State University, and Al-Hikmah University. Despite these assets, Kwara faces challenges with youth unemployment, rural infrastructure deficits, and uneven development between the capital and rural LGAs.
Politically, Kwara was long dominated by the Saraki political dynasty until the "O to Ge" (Enough is Enough) movement in 2019 swept the APC into power across the state. This realignment fundamentally reshaped Kwara's political landscape, and the APC has maintained control through the 2023 elections. The 2027 elections will test whether this new political order has solidified or whether opposition forces can mount a credible challenge.
News & Analysis
Latest Analysis from Kwara State
In-depth reporting and data-driven analysis of political, economic, and social developments in Kwara State.
Kwara State Budget 2026: Infrastructure vs. Welfare Spending Debated
The proposed ₦350 billion budget allocates 42% to infrastructure and 18% to education. Civil society groups argue for greater healthcare investment.
July 5, 2026
Read analysisAPC Holds Firm in Kwara Central, But PDP Gains Ground in North
Our latest polling shows the ruling APC maintaining a double-digit lead in Kwara Central Senatorial District, but the race is tightening in Kwara North.
June 28, 2026
Read analysisIlorin Agricultural Hub Project: Two Years On
The state government's flagship agro-processing initiative has created an estimated 3,200 jobs, though farmers in rural LGAs report uneven access to credit.
June 15, 2026
Read analysisFrequently Asked Questions
Kwara State: Common Questions
Answers to frequently asked questions about Kwara State's politics, elections, demographics, and governance.
What is the population of Kwara State?
Kwara State has an estimated population of approximately 3.5 million people according to recent projections based on the 2006 census. The state is relatively sparsely populated compared to other Nigerian states of similar size, with significant concentrations in Ilorin and the major towns of Offa, Oro, and Lafiagi. Population growth has remained moderate at roughly 0.8% annually.
Who is the current Governor of Kwara State?
The current Executive Governor of Kwara State is AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq of the All Progressives Congress (APC). He was first elected in 2019, ending the decades-long dominance of the Saraki political dynasty, and was re-elected for a second term in March 2023. His administration has prioritized infrastructure development, education reform, and agricultural modernization.
What is the capital of Kwara State?
The capital of Kwara State is Ilorin, a historic city located at the southern edge of the Sudano-Sahelian grassland and the northern edge of the Yoruba heartland. Ilorin is one of Nigeria's most important centers of Islamic learning and scholarship, with a metropolitan population estimated at over 900,000. The city is renowned for its traditional dyeing industry, leather works, and as a strategic transit point between northern and southern Nigeria.
What are the major ethnic groups in Kwara State?
Kwara State is ethnically diverse. The Yoruba people form the largest ethnic group, particularly concentrated in Ilorin and the southern LGAs. The Fulani community is significant, especially in Ilorin where they have historical ties to the 19th-century jihad. The Nupe people are predominant in the Edu and Pategi LGAs along the Niger River, while the Bariba (Baatonu) community is found in Baruten LGA in the far north. This ethnic diversity creates both rich cultural exchange and occasional political tensions.
What is Kwara State known for economically?
Kwara State is primarily known for agriculture, producing cotton, groundnut, guinea corn, maize, yam, cassava, and rice. The state government has invested in agro-processing zones to add value to these commodities. Kwara is also a significant educational hub, hosting the University of Ilorin (Unilorin), Kwara State University (KWASU), and several other tertiary institutions that attract students from across Nigeria. Additionally, Ilorin has a vibrant traditional crafts sector, particularly in weaving, dyeing (using the traditional adire technique), and leatherwork.
How many local government areas are in Kwara State?
Kwara State has 16 local government areas (LGAs): Ilorin East, Ilorin South, Ilorin West, Asa, Ifelodun, Irepodun, Isin, Kaiama, Moro, Offa, Oke Ero, Oyun, Pategi, Edu, Baruten, and Ekiti. Each LGA has its own elected council chairman and councilors. The LGAs vary significantly in population density, with the three Ilorin LGAs and Offa being the most urbanized, while Baruten, Kaiama, and Moro remain predominantly rural.
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