NigeriaPolls

NigeriaPolls · South-West

Ondo State

The Sunshine State — Nigeria's cocoa capital. Population ~4.5 million. Capital: Akure. Home to the world's largest bitumen deposit.

3 Latest PollsGovernor: Lucky Aiyedatiwa (APC)Capital: Akure

Sentiment Tracker

Ondo State Sentiment Scorecard

Real-time public sentiment indicators based on representative sampling across all 18 LGAs. Scores reflect percentage of respondents expressing positive or satisfied sentiment.

Source label: NigeriaPolls state sentiment tracker, last reviewed 17 August 2026. Treat these figures as public-opinion snapshots, not official government statistics or election predictions. For a citable claim, include the state page URL, publication or review date, geography, response basis where shown, and whether the passage is poll data, research-desk analysis, or public-record context.

Governance Approval

46%Mixed

Security Perception

52%Mixed

Economic Confidence

43%Concern

Youth Hope Index

45%Mixed

Healthcare Access

41%Concern

Education Quality

49%Mixed

Data sourced from NigeriaPolls field surveys conducted April–June 2026. Sample sizes range from 1,200 to 1,900 respondents per wave. Methodology available at /methodology.

Latest Polls

Latest Polls from Ondo

Recent surveys capturing voter opinion on governance, upcoming elections, and policy priorities in Ondo State.

Citation note: quote the individual poll title, date, response count or sample size, publisher/source label, and state geography when using these findings. If a result card summarizes a broader survey, cite the full poll page or dataset rather than this state overview alone.

Governance

Governor Lucky Aiyedatiwa Approval Rating — Q2 2026

46% approval, 34% disapprove, 20% undecided

June 2026·1,598 registered voters·±3.1%
View full results
Elections

Ondo 2027 Gubernatorial Preference Poll

APC leads with 41%, PDP 33%, LP 16%, undecided 10%

May 2026·1,876 likely voters·±2.8%
View full results
Economy

Bitumen Exploration & Agricultural Economy Survey

68% support bitumen development; cocoa farmers report 52% income satisfaction

April 2026·1,412 adults·±3.2%
View full results

Political Leadership

Key Political Figures

Current elected officials representing Ondo State at the executive and legislative levels.

Governor

Lucky Aiyedatiwa

APC · Since December 2023

Approval Rating

46%

46%
Disapprove: 34%Undecided: 20%

Senators (10th Assembly)

Jimoh Ibrahim

Ondo South

APC

Jide Ipinsagba

Ondo North

APC

Adeniyi Adegbonmire

Ondo Central

APC

Demographics

State Profile

Population (est.)4.5 million
GDP Contribution (est.)$7.3 billion (est.)
Capital CityAkure
Geopolitical ZoneSouth-West
Date Created1976
Local Government Areas18
Major LanguagesYoruba, Ikale, Ilaje, Owo, English
ReligionChristianity, Islam, Traditional

About Ondo

Ondo State was created on February 3, 1976, from the former Western State. Located in the South-West geopolitical zone, it is bordered by Ekiti and Kogi States to the north, Edo State to the east, Ogun and Ogun States to the west, and the Atlantic Ocean to the south. The state covers approximately 15,500 square kilometers and is home to over 4.5 million people, predominantly of Yoruba extraction.

The state's economy is built on agriculture — particularly cocoa, which makes Ondo Nigeria's top cocoa producer — and increasingly on bitumen exploration. The state is home to the largest known bitumen deposit in Africa, estimated at 42 billion barrels, though commercial extraction has remained elusive for decades. The Ilaje coastal area produces oil, making Ondo the only South-West state with petroleum derivation revenue. Politically, Ondo has been competitive, with both the PDP and APC (and predecessor parties) holding power. The state is also culturally significant as the homeland of several Yoruba subgroups and hosts the annual Owo Festival and other traditional celebrations.

News & Analysis

Analysis & Commentary

In-depth analysis of political developments, policy decisions, and electoral dynamics in Ondo State.

Governance

Post-Rotimi Akeredolu: Can Aiyedatiwa Unite Ondo APC?

Governor Lucky Aiyedatiwa inherited office following the death of Rotimi Akeredolu in December 2023. Our analysis examines his efforts to consolidate power within a fragmented APC and the implications for the 2027 governorship race.

June 2026Read more
Analysis

Ondo Bitumen: The World's Longest Unexploited Deposit

Ondo State sits on one of the world's largest commercially viable bitumen deposits, estimated at 42 billion barrels. We explore why decades of extraction promises have failed and what voters think about the latest development bids.

May 2026Read more
Environment

Ilaje Coastal Communities and Environmental Politics

The oil-producing Ilaje communities in Ondo's southern belt have long agitated for environmental remediation and derivation benefits. Our poll captures sentiment in Nigeria's only South-West oil-producing region.

April 2026Read more

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions about Ondo State politics, governance, and polling data.

Who is the current governor of Ondo State?

Lucky Orimisan Aiyedatiwa of the All Progressives Congress (APC) is the current governor of Ondo State. He became governor on December 27, 2023, following the death of his predecessor, Rotimi Akeredolu, under whom he served as deputy governor.

What is Ondo State known for?

Ondo is known as "The Sunshine State" and is Nigeria's leading cocoa producer, accounting for approximately 30% of national output. The state is also notable for having the world's longest commercially viable bitumen deposit. Its coastal Ilaje area is the only oil-producing region in Nigeria's South-West.

How many local government areas are in Ondo?

Ondo State has 18 local government areas (LGAs), divided into three senatorial districts: Ondo North, Ondo Central, and Ondo South.

What is Governor Lucky Aiyedatiwa's current approval rating?

According to NigeriaPolls' June 2026 survey, Governor Lucky Aiyedatiwa holds a 46% approval rating among registered voters in Ondo State, with 34% disapproving and 20% undecided. His ratings reflect the challenge of stepping into office mid-term.

Which party has historically dominated Ondo politics?

Ondo politics has been competitive between the PDP and APC (and its predecessor ACN). The Labour Party also won the 2012 governorship under Olusegun Mimiko. Since 2016, the APC has held the governorship under Rotimi Akeredolu and now Lucky Aiyedatiwa.

What are the major ethnic groups in Ondo?

The Yoruba people constitute the vast majority, with subgroups including the Akure, Owo, Okitipupa, Ikale, and Ilaje. The state also has a significant Edo-speaking minority in the Akoko area near the Edo State border.

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